Risk modelling of natural disasters

It is the modelling agencies AIR, RMS or EQECAT that usually determine probabilities of natural disasters. Their predictions are based on numerical weather models. In practice, the results of such predictions differ noticeably. For risk modelling, Meyerthole Siems Kohlruss generally employs the agencies’ results. But in addition we supplement the data with independent studies that contain individual predictions for the customer. For this calculation classical actuarial models are applied to the loss experience data of the individual company. The results enable our customers to evaluate their natural disaster exposure from an additional viewpoint.

Download product flyer PDF